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Prediction: Phenotypes

In 2018, Scott Alexander predicted:

Polygenic scores [will] go public – not necessarily by 2023, but not long after. It [will] become possible to look at your 23andMe results and get a weak estimate of your height, IQ, criminality, et cetera.


A service to do exactly this – not especially well, but as well as cutting edge research allowed – had already been in service for a year and a half when the prediction was made.

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